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NFL projection model: Raiders, Commanders winning the offseason; 49ers, Cowboys slipping

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  • Post last modified:March 26, 2025

Here is the result in plain text:

The NFL offseason is well underway, and while the upcoming NFL Draft will shake things up even more, there has been no shortage of roster-altering moves. The biggest, of course, have come at quarterback.

We’re still waiting for one big domino (Aaron Rodgers) to fall, but we’ve already seen huge shifts in the QB landscape. No. 1, of course, was the Seattle Seahawks trading Geno Smith to the Las Vegas Raiders before signing former Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold to be their new signal caller.

How did those moves, and all of the others made so far this offseason, affect their teams’ outlooks for the 2025 season? It’s a bit like asking: Who have been the biggest winners and losers of the offseason so far? We’re going to attempt to answer that analytically using our NFL Projection Model.

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Here’s a look at how many expected points each NFL team had added or lost this offseason…

Five Biggest Winners:
1. Las Vegas Raiders
2. New York Giants
3. New England Patriots
4. Indianapolis Colts
5. Washington Commanders

Five Biggest Losers:
1. New York Jets
2. San Francisco 49ers
3. Philadelphia Eagles
4. Dallas Cowboys
5. Seattle Seahawks

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